Forecasting China's Future - 9781138916753

Name: Forecasting China's Future - 9781138916753
Brand: Taylor & Francis

Taylor & Francis

Forecasting China's FutureDominance or Collapse?\nAuthor(s): Roger Irvine\nFormat: Hardback\nPublisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd, United Kingdom\nImprint: Routledge\nISBN-13: 9781138916753, 978-1138916753\nSynopsis\nChinas future development is likely to have a huge impact on twenty-first century global outcomes. It is therefore surprising that, thus far, so little attention has been given to comparing and evaluating expert forecasts of Chinas future in the post-Mao era.\n\nThis book presents an illuminating and comprehensive summary record of contrasting and competing expert forecasts and judgements about the major issues confronting China within four principal domains political, economic, environmental, and international. After considering the principal forecasting methods available to experts, the author comments critically on the degree of success achieved in using those methods and emphasises the confusion created by the polarisation of opinion and by the failure of many expert.